Thursday, February 12, 2015

Inclusive Wealth Report 2012 & 2014.


Agricultural land, forest covers , high ranges and beaches are being lost to urbanization and development. This has a serious and direct  impact on the global ecological balance. For example a recent study states   that there is an increase in the atmospheric lightening over northern America due to global warming. Alarming indeed  because lightening triggers forest fires. The great barrier reef  that skirts the north eastern Australian coast  has been reduced by 50% over  the  last three decades.Among others coastal development and climate change are cited as reasons. Ocean warming has robbed coral off its color.  The great Himalayas,   prehistoric  Western Ghats, Amazonian forests and    mighty rivers are also facing threats.  Ecologists world over  believe we stand to lose much of our  natural heritage in our lifetime, if we don't take precautionary steps right away. While this may be a bit exaggerated, it is true that our natural wealth is being depleted.   We need to assess the instrumental value of our natural assets and then incorporate this  in the annual balance sheet- Just as the movable and immovable assets along with their depreciation show up in a company's  balance sheet. 

And therein lies the challenge. How do we compute  a nation's   wealth? In 2012 United Nations and World bank  brought together several like-minded agencies (UN University –International Human Dimensions Programme (UNU-IHDP) and the UN Environment Programme (UNEP), in collaboration with the UNESCOMahatma Gandhi Institute of Education for Peace and Sustainable Development (UNESCO-MGIEP), ASCENT Africa Sustainability Centre, the Malaysian Industry-Government Group for High Technology (MIGHT), Science to Action (S2A), the Ministry of Environment – Government of Japan, the UN University – Institute for the Advanced Study of Sustainability (UNU-IAS), and endorsed by the Science and Technology Alliance for Global Sustainability)  under one umbrella to crack this challenge- how to do national wealth accounting.   The team collected extensive data and devised a method to calculate  national wealth wherein natural wealth is a non-negotiabel term. The details of this exercise are contained in  the Inclusive Wealth Report 2012.  The report recognized three components  of the National wealth  as follows: 

Wealth =  Human Capital(HC)+ Produced Capital(PC)+ Natural Capital (NC)


While this empirical formula might seem naive it incorporates several layers of complexity behind the facade.  HC is computed taking into account education, skill-set, health etc.Computing  PC will be the easiest since it has a direct bearing on the GDP and  cover all products (industrial + agricultural, roads,buildings etc.)   NC, Natural wealth itself is viewed from three different angles: the intrinsic value, use value and optional value and assessed among other things in terms of irreversible uses and substitution possibilities and renewable resources.  Inclusive Wealth index (IWI) evaluated based on these premises falls below the GDP and HDI. IWR 2012 was also  the first step towards sensitizing governments  for the need for a cautious balance between growth rate and ecological integrity. 

IWR 2014 report is significant  is a jump forward from the 2012 report for several reasons. For example while  The 2012 reported covered 20 countries, the present report covers 140 countries. Its focus is the human capital; a    great national asset which could very easily turn into a liability.   The Human capital computation with   educational and health components as key changemakers  has received stringent scrutiny.  As Anantha Duraiappahin  states in the Preface of IWR 2014 -

 "We hope that policy-makers at the international, national, and state level will see the IWR 2014 as a useful tool, and as encouragement to take the steps necessary to close gaps in data and to utilize the inclusive wealth accounts presented in the report as guidance "  

Here is a snippet from the voluminous data in the report.  Since BRICS countries  will have a strong influence on the fate of  the world in years to come-by, I have just picked the details of the  BRICS group and thrown in western Europe and the USA and world data for comparison.   This for the 20 year period 1990-2010.     



While the results could be viewed through several filters ( single  or in combination), what stands out remarkable is way forward to  reach  a win-win situation. 
   
Reference : 

1.UNU-IHDP and UNEP (2014). Inclusive Wealth Report 2014. Measuring progress toward sustainability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
2..UNU-IHDP and UNEP (2012). Inclusive Wealth Report 2014. Measuring progress toward sustainability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press